Author
Kirstine Openshaw

Hey, it's Kirstine - breaking down this week's biggest DFW developments and what the November numbers actually mean.

In today's newsletter:

Frisco 1,000-Acre Park: Civic amphitheater, adventure zones, sports fields, botanic gardens anchoring west Tollway development

Stargate Abilene Expansion: Phase 2 underway on 875-acre site, 8 buildings, 4M SF, 1.2GW - Texas surpasses Virginia for data centers

3 New Texas Laws: HOA police contracts, business tax breaks, faster evictions change neighborhoods and investment calculations

Dallas 8300 Douglas Project: $580M mixed-use featuring 12-story office, 17-story residential, 2026 construction start

Download our Popular DFW Growth Guide here so you can start planning your next smart investment - [Click Here]

FRISCO UNVEILS 1,000-ACRE PUBLIC PARK WEST OF DALLAS NORTH TOLLWAY CREATING NORTH TEXAS'S LARGEST URBAN RECREATION HUB

Frisco city leaders announce 1,000-acre public park development between Dallas North Tollway and Legacy Drive with Crossland Construction Co. securing $1.1M contract for initial 68-acre phase targeting Q2 2027 completion, featuring five major sections - civic park with 5-acre pond-amphitheater-sculpture garden, adventure play interactive zones, sports park with multi-use fields-trails, botanic gardens native plant center, and general section miles of nature trails - positioning project as city-scale recreation anchor driving property values and future west-of-Tollway development complementing PGA Frisco, Fields, Firefly Park urban expansion. [Dallas Business Journal, Texas A&M Real Estate Center]

Project Scale:

  • 1,000 acres total park size

  • One of North Texas's largest urban park projects

  • Between Dallas North Tollway and Legacy Drive

  • West Frisco location

  • Q2 2027 completion target (initial phase)

Initial Phase:

  • $1.1 million contract value

  • Crossland Construction Co. developer

  • 68-acre initial section

  • Foundation for future expansion phases

Five Park Sections:

1. Civic Park

  • 5-acre pond

  • Amphitheater for events

  • Sculpture garden

  • Public gathering space

2. Adventure Play

  • Interactive kids' zones

  • Family play areas

  • Creative exploration spaces

3. Sports Park

  • Multi-use athletic fields

  • Trails for running-cycling

  • Recreation facilities

4. Botanic Gardens

  • Native plant displays

  • Ecology education center

  • Environmental focus

5. General Section

  • Miles of multi-use nature trails

  • Passive recreation

  • Open green space

Strategic Positioning:

Park anchors future development west of Dallas North Tollway creating green space counterbalance to Frisco's urban expansion (PGA Frisco, Fields, Firefly Park), while 1,000-acre scale provides long-term recreation capacity supporting residential growth and boosting property values in adjacent neighborhoods through outdoor amenity access.

Frisco Growth Context:

  • PGA Frisco (golf headquarters, entertainment)

  • Fields development (mixed-use district)

  • Firefly Park (existing recreation)

  • Universal Kids Resort (2026 theme park opening)

  • The Mix ($3B mixed-use, 3,000+ residences)

Unknown Variables:

  • Final park naming and branding

  • Connections to Fields, Firefly, nearby neighborhoods

  • Commercial and dining nodes along park entry points

  • Full build-out timeline beyond initial phase

  • Total investment across all phases

Why It's Strategic: Frisco's 1,000-acre park - larger than many Texas city park systems combined - demonstrates municipal recognition that sustained residential growth ($1M+ Southlake median declining 15.6% while families seek value) requires outdoor amenity investment differentiating city from commodity suburban developments, while west-of-Tollway positioning anchors future phases extending Frisco's development frontier beyond established PGA-Fields-Firefly corridor. The five-section program (civic, adventure, sports, botanic, trails) creates diverse user appeal from families to fitness enthusiasts to nature seekers, while Q2 2027 initial completion aligns with Universal Kids Resort 2026 opening creating dual attraction strategy positioning Frisco as North Texas family destination. Crossland Construction's $1.1M initial contract represents foundation investment enabling future phases as adjacent land development provides funding through increased property values and tax base expansion.

OPENAI-ORACLE-SOFTBANK $500B STARGATE PROJECT LAUNCHES PHASE 2 ABILENE EXPANSION WITH 8 BUILDINGS TOTALING 4M SF AND 1.2GW POWER

Nation's first Stargate Data Center backed by OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank advances Phase 2 construction on 875-acre Abilene site (larger than Central Park) featuring 8 buildings totaling 4 million square feet and 1.2 gigawatts power capacity, positioning Abilene as critical node in America's AI energy corridor while Texas surpasses Northern Virginia for new data center construction with 1,191+ megawatts colocation power underway pushing growth westward from DFW into Central-West Texas, as developers cite abundant reliable energy, cheap land, fuel supply, pro-growth policies creating "new gold rush" for securing energy capacity before demand outpaces supply through 2030. [CoStar News]

Phase 2 Expansion Details:

  • 875-acre total site (larger than New York's Central Park)

  • 8 buildings planned

  • 4 million square feet total

  • 1.2 gigawatts power capacity

  • West Texas Abilene location

  • Already underway (Phase 1 operational)

Stargate Project Background:

  • $500 billion total investment

  • OpenAI partnership

  • Oracle infrastructure

  • SoftBank funding

  • First facility already operational in Abilene

  • Rapid expansion timeline

Texas Market Leadership:

  • Texas surpasses Northern Virginia for new data center construction

  • 1,191+ megawatts colocation power underway

  • Growth pushing westward from DFW

  • Central and West Texas expansion

  • "Ground zero for AI economy" positioning

Site Selection Factors:

Why Texas (Why Abilene):

  • Abundant, reliable energy supply

  • Cheap land availability

  • Fuel supply access

  • Pro-growth regulatory policies

  • Space for massive campuses

  • Lower costs than coastal markets

Energy Capacity Race:

Experts describing data center land acquisition as "new gold rush" where developers compete to secure energy capacity before demand outpaces supply through 2030, while Texas's energy market structure and generation capacity provide competitive advantage over states with limited grid expansion potential.

Regional Impact:

Abilene positioning as AI infrastructure hub (similar to AllianceTexas logistics transformation) creates employment growth, housing demand, and economic diversification beyond traditional West Texas oil-agriculture base, while 875-acre campus scale with 1.2GW power represents small city electricity consumption demonstrating infrastructure requirements driving rural site selection over urban locations.

Why It's Critical: Stargate's Phase 2 Abilene expansion - 8 buildings, 4M SF, 1.2GW on 875 acres - demonstrates OpenAI-Oracle-SoftBank consortium conviction that Texas's energy abundance and pro-growth policies justify $500B national AI infrastructure deployment concentrated in state, while Texas surpassing Virginia for data center construction marks fundamental shift where coastal markets' land costs and regulatory constraints make Texas economically superior despite workforce and connectivity advantages. The "new gold rush" characterization reveals energy capacity as primary constraint where developers securing power commitments before 2030 demand surge gain competitive advantage, positioning Texas grid operator ERCOT as critical enabler (or potential bottleneck) as AI infrastructure scales. Abilene's 875-acre campus (larger than Central Park) demonstrates AI data centers requiring unprecedented land-power combinations unavailable in traditional tech hubs, while rapid Phase 2 launch following Phase 1 operational status validates absorption confidence contrasting speculative land banking.

THREE NEW TEXAS LAWS RESHAPE HOA BUDGETS, INDUSTRIAL INCENTIVES, AND INVESTOR PROTECTIONS EFFECTIVE DECEMBER-JANUARY

December-January 2025 effective Texas legislation includes HB 26 enabling HOA direct law enforcement patrol contracts impacting neighborhood safety plans and dues structures, HB 9 providing $125K business inventory tax exemption driving industrial-warehouse expansion while cities may raise property tax rates offsetting revenue losses, and SB 38 accelerating squatter eviction process strengthening investor-landlord protections reducing vacant home and rental site carrying costs, demonstrating policy shifts affecting neighborhood budgets, commercial land demand, and investment risk calculations across DFW. [WFAA, Texas Legislature]

HB 26: HOA Law Enforcement Contracts

What It Does:

  • HOAs can now hire police directly for neighborhood patrols

  • Communities pay for extra security through HOA dues

  • More police presence in participating neighborhoods

  • HOAs control their own safety programs

Impact on Homeowners:

  • HOA dues likely increase to cover patrol costs

  • Safer neighborhoods may attract more buyers

  • Property values could rise in high-security areas

  • Creates differentiation between neighborhoods

What to Watch:

  • Which master-planned communities adopt patrols first

  • How much dues increase (typically $50-200/month)

  • If crime statistics actually improve

  • Buyer demand for "extra security" neighborhoods

HB 9: Business Inventory Tax Exemption

What It Does:

  • Businesses don't pay tax on first $125K of inventory

  • Warehouses and factories save significant money

  • Texas becomes more attractive for logistics companies

  • Cities lose tax revenue and may compensate

Impact on Homeowners:

  • More industrial development near highways

  • Cities might raise residential property taxes

  • Job growth in logistics and manufacturing sectors

  • Land values increase near industrial zones

What to Watch:

  • Industrial development near residential areas

  • Property tax rate changes in your city

  • Employment growth at AllianceTexas, I-20 corridor

  • Land speculation near highway interchanges

SB 38: Faster Squatter Eviction Process

What It Does:

  • Landlords remove illegal occupants faster (days vs. months)

  • Squatters can't easily claim tenant rights

  • Protects investors with vacant properties

  • Reduces time properties sit empty with unauthorized occupants

Impact on Investors:

  • Lower risk owning vacant homes during renovation

  • Faster property turnover after foreclosure

  • Reduced carrying costs (utilities, taxes during vacancy)

  • Encourages rental property investment

What to Watch:

  • Increased investor activity in rental market

  • Faster property flips and renovations

  • Competition for affordable homes from investors

  • Rental inventory growth

Why These Laws Matter:

HB 26 (HOA Police)

  • Walsh Ranch, Shelton Ranch, master-planned communities likely early adopters

  • Creates safety differentiation driving buyer preference

  • Dues increase but property values may rise more

HB 9 (Business Tax Break)

  • Accelerates Fort Worth logistics corridor growth

  • Complements Bonds Ranch, AllianceTexas expansion

  • Residential property tax shifts possible

SB 38 (Squatter Removal)

  • Reduces investor risk in affordable segments

  • Increases competition for entry-level homes

  • Supports rental supply growth

The Bottom Line:

These three laws work together:

  • HB 26 makes expensive neighborhoods safer (luxury focus)

  • HB 9 brings more industrial jobs but possible tax increases

  • SB 38 helps investors compete with homebuyers

Why It Matters: Texas's three new real estate laws - HOA police contracts (HB 26), business inventory tax breaks (HB 9), faster squatter evictions (SB 38) - create interconnected effects where neighborhood safety improvements might increase HOA dues $50-200/month but boost property values in master-planned communities (Walsh Ranch, Shelton Ranch adopting early), industrial incentives accelerate warehouse-logistics expansion near highways (AllianceTexas, I-20 corridor) while forcing cities to raise residential property taxes offsetting $125K inventory exemption revenue loss, and investor protections reduce vacant property risks encouraging rental acquisitions increasing buyer competition in affordable segments. The HOA policing provision particularly differentiates new developments where additional security patrols justify premium pricing, while industrial tax exemption complements Fort Worth's recent growth (Bonds Ranch 829 units, northwest corridor expansion) and squatter eviction streamlining addresses investor concerns making Texas more attractive for out-of-state rental property capital.

DALLAS 8300 DOUGLAS AVENUE $580M MIXED-USE PROJECT FEATURES 12-STORY OFFICE AND 17-STORY RESIDENTIAL TARGETING 2028 COMPLETION

Ramrock Real Estate-Lincoln Property Co.-HKS-Willow Bridge Management joint venture unveils $580M mixed-use development at 8300 Douglas Avenue featuring 12-story office tower (300K SF) with 11 balconies-wine room-fitness center plus 35K SF outdoor space, 17-story residential tower (280K SF) with 35K SF rooftop park, 24K SF ground-floor retail, 1,000 parking spaces across above-below-ground garages targeting March 2026 construction start and 2028 completion, positioning Douglas corridor as Dallas exclusive mixed-use district where luxury living meets boutique corporate space with outdoor integration and amenity focus rivaling high-end hospitality projects. [Dallas Business Journal, Texas A&M Real Estate Center]

Project Components:

12-Story Office Tower:

  • 300,000 square feet

  • 11 outdoor balconies

  • Wine room amenity

  • Fitness center

  • 35,000 SF outdoor space designed by HKS

  • Flexible work and event spaces

17-Story Residential Tower:

  • 280,000 square feet

  • 35,000 SF rooftop park

  • Luxury apartments/condos (product mix unclear)

  • Shared ground-floor retail access

Shared Amenities:

  • 24,000 SF ground-floor retail

  • 1,000 parking spaces

  • Above-ground and below-ground garages

  • Indoor-outdoor integration focus

Timeline:

  • March 2026 construction start

  • 2028 completion target

  • 24-month construction duration

Developer Joint Venture:

  • Ramrock Real Estate (lead)

  • Lincoln Property Co. (mixed-use expertise)

  • HKS (design leadership)

  • Willow Bridge Management (residential operations)

Douglas Corridor Context:

8300 Douglas continues Preston Center submarket evolution into exclusive mixed-use district where live-work-play design creates self-contained urban environment, while outdoor space emphasis (35K SF office outdoor, 35K SF residential rooftop) demonstrates post-COVID workspace preferences and lifestyle amenity competition.

Unknown Variables:

  • Office tower anchor tenant(s)

  • Residential unit price points

  • Retail tenant mix and concepts

  • Leasing timeline and absorption

Why It Matters: Dallas's $580M 8300 Douglas project - combining 12-story office (300K SF) with 17-story residential (280K SF) - demonstrates developer confidence in mixed-use office demand despite national office market uncertainty, while 11 balconies and 35K SF outdoor workspace addresses post-COVID tenant preferences for indoor-outdoor flexibility contrasting traditional sealed-building office design. The Lincoln Property Co.-HKS-Willow Bridge partnership brings institutional capital and operational expertise justifying premium positioning, while Preston Center submarket location provides established affluent residential base and retail infrastructure supporting mixed-use economics. March 2026 construction start with 2028 completion creates delivery timeline aligning with potential economic recovery and rate normalization, while 1,000 parking spaces (high ratio for urban project) acknowledges Dallas car-dependent culture despite walkable mixed-use aspirations.

THIS WEEK'S WRAP-UP

Families and Relocators: Frisco's 1,000-acre park with civic amphitheater, adventure zones, sports fields, botanic gardens creates outdoor amenity differentiator supporting property values west of Dallas North Tollway complementing Universal Kids Resort 2026 opening, while new HOA police patrol law (HB 26) enables master-planned communities (Walsh Ranch, Shelton Ranch) offering enhanced security justifying premium pricing as November luxury corrections (Southlake down 15.6%) create negotiation opportunities in high-amenity neighborhoods.

Real Estate Investors: SB 38 faster squatter evictions reduce vacant property risks encouraging rental acquisitions, HB 9 business inventory tax exemption ($125K) accelerates industrial-warehouse expansion near highways (AllianceTexas, I-20 corridor) driving adjacent land appreciation, while Stargate Abilene Phase 2 expansion (8 buildings, 4M SF, 1.2GW) and Texas surpassing Virginia for data center construction validates energy infrastructure investment thesis as cities potentially raise residential property taxes offsetting commercial incentives requiring tax impact analysis.

Developers and Commercial Investors: Dallas 8300 Douglas $580M mixed-use (12-story office, 17-story residential) demonstrates continued institutional capital deployment in live-work-play concepts despite office market uncertainty, while Frisco 1,000-acre park anchors west-of-Tollway development creating adjacent land value appreciation opportunities, as Stargate's "new gold rush" for energy capacity reveals data center site selection prioritizing power access over traditional location factors enabling West Texas positioning contrasting coastal market constraints.

Bottom line: This week demonstrates North Texas diversifying growth through Frisco's 1,000-acre recreation investment anchoring residential expansion, Stargate Abilene Phase 2 positioning Texas as AI infrastructure leader surpassing Virginia, three new laws reshaping HOA security budgets-industrial incentives-investor protections, and Dallas 8300 Douglas $580M mixed-use validating live-work-play institutional capital confidence, while HB 9 business tax exemptions accelerate logistics corridor growth potentially triggering residential property tax increases as cities offset revenue losses and HOA police contracts (HB 26) create neighborhood differentiation supporting premium pricing in master-planned communities adopting enhanced security programs.

Ready to position land holdings near Frisco's 1,000-acre park before west-of-Tollway development accelerates or identify master-planned communities adopting HOA police patrols before security premium pricing emerges? Let's connect you with our partners who understand recreation amenity impact on property values and new Texas law implications for neighborhood selection and investment timing.

MORTGAGE MINUTE

What's Happening This Week:

Big news heading into next week - there's a 90% chance the Federal Reserve cuts their Fed Funds Rate. Core inflation has held steady at 2.4% year-over-year for the past seven months, putting us close to the Fed's 2% target and setting the stage for a potential series of rate cuts as we enter the new year.

Translation: Lower rates could be coming. If you've been waiting for the right moment, this could be it.

Current Rates (National Average):

  • 30-Year Fixed: 6.28% ↓

  • 15-Year Fixed: 5.80% ↓

  • FHA: 5.90% ↓

  • VA: 5.90% ↓

What You Should Know:

We can close loans in two weeks or less (on qualifying programs), offer reverse mortgages for both purchases and cash-out refinances, and have access to creative solutions including broker loans for buyers who might not qualify through traditional routes. Even working this weekend to help get deals done before year-end. Schedule a call now to talk with Clive Openshaw [Close with Clive - Schedule a Call]

Why This Fed Cut Matters:

When the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates usually follow within weeks. With inflation staying near their 2% target for seven straight months, we're likely looking at multiple cuts - not just one. That means buyers who lock rates now could benefit, and those waiting might see even better opportunities in early 2026.

Year-End Opportunity:

Rates are down, the Fed is signaling cuts, and motivated sellers are still in the market before the holidays. This combination doesn't happen often - lower rates, less competition, and sellers eager to close before year-end. Plus, with Frisco adding a 1,000-acre park and new master-planned communities adopting HOA security patrols, positioning now means getting ahead of amenity-driven appreciation.

Bottom Line: We're at a turning point. After months of high rates, the Fed is ready to cut, inflation is cooperating, and mortgage rates dropped again this week. Whether you're buying near Frisco's new mega-park, in master-planned communities with enhanced security, or anywhere in North Texas's growth zones - now is the time to explore your options.

Schedule a call now to talk with Clive Openshaw [Close with Clive - Schedule a Call]

Want to discuss your specific situation? Reply back "CLOSE" to schedule a call with Clive, or let's explore what programs might work for your timeline and goals before rates shift again. (NMLS #2639452)

See you next week,
Kirstine & Clive Openshaw

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